Blue Fear

Why the Democrats are scared:

As USA Today notes, these numbers show that Biden “has suffered significant losses among Black voters who supported him in 2020.”

Seventy-six percent of those surveyed in each state said they voted for Biden four years ago. Now, his support has fallen 20 percentage points in Pennsylvania (to 56%) and 22 points in Michigan (to 54%). Exit polls in 2020 showed Biden received 92% of the Black vote in each state, making his decline now even more precipitous. The top reason volunteered by respondents in the survey was discontent with the job he's done in the White House, followed by worries about his age and mental acuity. Third was concern about wars, including his support for Israel in the conflict in Gaza. Biden was viewed favorably by 61% to 31% in Michigan and 59% to 33% in Pennsylvania. While a net positive, it's an anemic showing for a candidate among a part of the electorate that for decades has overwhelmingly supported his party. To compare, former president Barack Obama, the nation's only Black president, had favorable ratings of 88% to 9% in Michigan and 84% to 11% in Pennsylvania.

Meanwhile, Trump received increased support among black voters compared to four years ago. He’s up six points in Michigan with black voters compare to 2020, and up eight points in Pennsylvania.

If you take your base for granted long enough, sooner or later they'll notice...